Smart Lock Statistics You Need to Know in 2026

Research. Updated July 2026

By Alex Heng Director, Interlock Last updated: July 17, 2026

Smart locks have moved from novelty to mainstream. Every major research firm now projects double-digit annual growth for the category, police data on both sides of the world shows why keyed entry is the weak point of home security, and in markets like Singapore, where nearly 8 in 10 resident households live in HDB flats, digital locks are fast becoming the default. This page compiles 45+ statistics from police forces, analyst firms and primary surveys, each with a named source and year, so journalists and researchers can cite them with confidence.

Key Smart Lock Statistics

The most-cited smart lock and home security numbers in one place.

  1. The global smart lock market was worth US$6.76 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$16.47 billion by 2033, a 10.4% compound annual growth rate. This is one analyst's estimate; other firms' baselines range from US$3.5 billion to US$5.0 billion depending on market definition (see the comparison table below). (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)
  2. 11% of US internet households own a smart lock, and among households that already have a security system the figure jumps to 25%. (Source: Parks Associates, 2026)
  3. More than half of burglaries involve forced entry, with recent FBI-derived figures ranging from 56% to 62%, and the front door is the single most common entry point at about 34% of break-ins. (Source: FBI data via SafeWise, 2024; The Zebra, 2026)
  4. Over 60% of convicted burglars said they would skip a home visibly protected by security equipment. (Source: survey of convicted burglars via SafeWise, 2018)
  5. 67% of renters want keyless smart locks, yet 76% of multifamily operators still run on traditional keys exclusively. (Source: National Multifamily Housing Council; KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey, 2024)
  6. The Asia Pacific smart lock market is projected to nearly quadruple from US$817.2 million in 2024 to US$2,965.9 million by 2030, the fastest regional growth rate at a 24% CAGR. (Source: Grand View Research, 2025)
  7. Theft in dwelling remains an official crime of concern in Singapore with 1,500 cases in 2025, and police note these typically occur in unsecured or unattended premises. (Source: Singapore Police Force Annual Crime Brief 2025, 2026)
  8. Roughly 1 in 4 new smart lock launches in 2023-2024 incorporated biometric features such as fingerprint or palm-vein recognition, per Astute Analytica's market analysis. (Source: Astute Analytica analyst estimate, 2025)

Market Size and Growth

How big the smart lock category is today and where the analyst consensus says it is heading. Estimates differ by market definition, so the spread across firms is shown side by side.

Every major research firm projects the smart lock market to grow at 10% to 20% per year through the early 2030s, at least doubling in size. — Consensus across Astute Analytica, Fortune Business Insights, Persistence Market Research and Wise Guy Reports, 2025-2026
  1. The global smart lock market was valued at US$6.76 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$16.47 billion by 2033 at a 10.4% CAGR. (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)
  2. Fortune Business Insights estimates the smart door lock market at US$4.22 billion in 2026, growing at a 19.7% CAGR to 2034. (Source: Fortune Business Insights, 2026)
  3. North America held 34.5% of the global smart lock market in 2024, the largest regional share. (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)
  4. Deadbolts are the leading mechanism at 36.60% of the market, smart cards lead authentication technology at 38.40%, and residential applications account for 36.80%. (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)
  5. Direct-to-consumer smart lock sales are projected to grow at a 20.3% CAGR through 2030, roughly twice the pace of the overall market. (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)
Research firm Base estimate Projection CAGR
Astute Analytica US$6.76B (2024) US$16.47B by 2033 10.4%
Fortune Business Insights US$4.22B (2026) US$17.75B by 2034 19.7%
Persistence Market Research US$5.0B (2026) US$13.0B by 2033 14.6%
Wise Guy Reports US$3.96B (2026) US$12.80B by 2035 13.9%

Burglary and Break-In Data

The case for better locks starts with how intruders actually get in. US figures are the most detailed public dataset and are widely used as the global reference point.

A burglary happens roughly every 41 seconds in the United States. That is more than 2,000 per day. — FBI data via SafeWise, 2024
  1. 745,895 burglaries were reported in the US in 2024, the fewest on record, continuing a long-term decline. (Source: FBI data via SafeWise, 2024)
  2. More than half of burglaries involve forced entry such as a kicked-in door or broken window, with recent FBI-derived figures ranging from 56% to 62%. (Source: FBI data via SafeWise, 2024)
  3. The front door is the most common entry point, used in about 34% of break-ins. (Source: The Zebra, 2026)
  4. The average property loss per US residential burglary in 2024 was $4,986 for daytime incidents and $4,368 at night. (Source: FBI data via SafeWise, 2024)
  5. Over 60% of convicted burglars said they would skip a home visibly protected by security equipment. (Source: survey of convicted burglars via SafeWise, 2018)
  6. The most common window for burglaries is between noon and 4 p.m., with FBI 2024 data putting peak activity at 3 to 7 p.m., when homes sit empty for work and school. (Source: burglary victimization survey and FBI data via SafeWise, 2024)
  7. About 47% of people charged with burglary are also charged with property destruction, adding repair costs on top of stolen property. (Source: FBI data via SafeWise, 2024)

Adoption and Consumer Behavior

Who is actually buying smart locks and connected security, and what triggers the purchase.

More than half of households planning a move in the next six months plan to purchase a smart door lock. Moving house is the single biggest adoption trigger. — Parks Associates, 2026
  1. 11% of US internet households own a smart lock. (Source: Parks Associates, 2026)
  2. 25% of households with a security system own a smart door lock, versus just 3% of households without one, showing smart locks sell as part of a security ecosystem. (Source: Parks Associates, 2026)
  3. 43% of US internet households own a security solution, and 32% subscribe to a security service. (Source: Parks Associates, 2024)
  4. 45% of US internet households own at least one core smart home device, and 20% own a video doorbell. (Source: Parks Associates Smart Home Tracker, 2026)
  5. 30% of US internet households own either a smart camera or a smart video doorbell, averaging 2.21 such devices per owning household, and about two-thirds of owners pay for an attached service. (Source: Parks Associates, 2024)
  6. 18% of US households have six or more smart home devices. (Source: Parks Associates, 2024)

Singapore and Southeast Asia

Singapore is one of the world's most receptive markets for digital locks: dense high-rise living, high smart home awareness, and a public housing stock where digital deadbolts fit standard HDB fire-rated doors.

Singapore sits in the world's fastest-growing smart lock region: Asia Pacific is projected to nearly quadruple from US$817.2 million in 2024 to US$2,965.9 million by 2030. — Grand View Research, 2025
  1. Physical crime cases in Singapore rose 4.4% from 19,969 in 2024 to 20,857 in 2025. (Source: Singapore Police Force Annual Crime Brief 2025, 2026)
  2. Theft in dwelling recorded 1,500 cases in Singapore in 2025, about 7.2% of all physical crime, and remains an official crime of concern. Police note these cases typically occurred in unsecured or unattended premises. (Source: Singapore Police Force Annual Crime Brief 2025, 2026)
  3. Housebreaking cases in Singapore fell from 135 in 2023 to 118 in 2024. (Source: Singapore Police Force Annual Crime Brief 2024, 2025)
  4. In the first half of 2025, housebreaking fell 20% year on year to 52 cases, with almost half at residential premises, the majority in HDB flats. (Source: Singapore Police Force Mid-Year Crime Brief, 2025)
  5. 77.4% of Singapore's resident households live in HDB flats, the housing type where digital lock adoption is concentrated. (Source: Singapore Department of Statistics, 2024)
  6. Asia Pacific accounted for 29.5% of the global smart lock market in 2024, with deadbolts the largest revenue-generating product in the region. (Source: Grand View Research, 2025)

Total physical crime cases in Singapore, 2021 to 2025

Data: Singapore Police Force Annual Crime Brief 2025

Renters and Multifamily

Rental housing is where the gap between what residents want and what buildings offer is widest.

67% of renters want keyless smart locks, yet 76% of multifamily operators still use traditional keys exclusively. — NMHC research as cited by SmartRent; KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey, 2024
  1. 67% of renters want keyless smart locks, and 75% want property-wide access control. (Source: National Multifamily Housing Council research, as cited by SmartRent, 2025)
  2. 45% of renters believe physical door keys will be obsolete within the decade, and keyless entry ranks as the second most desired smart apartment amenity. (Source: Entrata renter survey, as reported 2025)
  3. 76% of multifamily professionals still use traditional keys exclusively at their properties, up from 61% in 2022. (Source: KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey via National Apartment Association, 2024)
  4. 81% of key-only multifamily properties have no plans to implement smart locks, up from 67% in 2022. (Source: KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey via National Apartment Association, 2024)
  5. 16% of multifamily properties use metal keys alongside smart locks, down from 30% in 2022. (Source: KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey via National Apartment Association, 2024)
  6. The top reason operators adopt smart locks is simplifying lockout situations (33%), and the top operational challenge is dead batteries (30%, up from 24% in 2022). (Source: KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey via National Apartment Association, 2024)

US multifamily access control, 2022 vs 2024

Data: KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey via National Apartment Association

Technology and Security Concerns

Biometrics are the clear direction of travel, while battery life and hacking fears remain the friction points buyers ask about.

  1. Approximately 25% of new smart lock launches in 2023-2024 incorporated biometric features such as fingerprint, face or palm-vein recognition, per Astute Analytica's market analysis. (Source: Astute Analytica analyst estimate, 2025)
  2. 84% of smart lock purchase intenders are interested in unlocking their door with a tap of a smartphone or smart watch. (Source: Parks Associates, 2026)
  3. 52% of smart home users are concerned that someone could gain control of their smart home devices. (Source: Deloitte Connectivity and Mobile Trends Survey, 2023)
  4. Dead batteries are the most-reported smart lock challenge among property operators at 30%, up from 24% in 2022, which is why quality digital locks ship with low-battery warnings and emergency power options. (Source: KeyTrak Industry Intelligence Survey via National Apartment Association, 2024)

Future Projections

Where the analyst consensus says smart locks are heading over the next five to ten years.

  1. The global smart lock market is projected to reach US$16.47 billion by 2033. (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)
  2. Wise Guy Reports projects US$12.80 billion by 2035, up from US$3.96 billion in 2026. (Source: Wise Guy Reports, 2026)
  3. Asia Pacific held 29.5% of the global smart lock market in 2024 and is projected to lead the market by revenue by 2030. (Source: Grand View Research, 2025)
  4. The Asia Pacific smart lock market is expected to grow at a 24% CAGR from 2025 to 2030, the fastest of any region. (Source: Grand View Research, 2025)
  5. Direct-to-consumer channels are projected to grow at a 20.3% CAGR through 2030, shifting smart lock purchases from locksmiths and integrators to online retail. (Source: Astute Analytica, 2025)

Frequently Asked Questions

How big is the smart lock market in 2026?

Estimates vary by research firm. Astute Analytica valued the global smart lock market at US$6.76 billion in 2024, projecting US$16.47 billion by 2033 at a 10.4% CAGR. Fortune Business Insights estimates US$4.22 billion in 2026 with a 19.7% CAGR to 2034. The spread reflects different market definitions, but every major firm projects double-digit annual growth.

What percentage of homes have smart locks?

Parks Associates reports that 11% of US internet households own a smart lock. Adoption is strongly tied to security systems: 25% of households with a security system own a smart door lock, versus just 3% of households without one.

Are smart locks more secure than traditional locks?

FBI-derived data shows more than half of burglaries involve forced entry (recent figures range from 56% to 62%), and the front door is the most common entry point at about 34% of break-ins. Quality smart locks address the weakest links in traditional keyed entry: lost or copied keys, unlocked doors and no audit trail. Visible security also deters intruders, with over 60% of convicted burglars saying they would skip a home with visible security equipment.

How common is housebreaking in Singapore?

Housebreaking is rare and falling in Singapore: cases fell from 135 in 2023 to 118 in 2024, and dropped a further 20% year on year in the first half of 2025, according to the Singapore Police Force. Theft in dwelling remains an official crime of concern however, with 1,500 cases in 2025, and SPF notes these typically occur in unsecured or unattended premises.

Do renters want smart locks?

Yes. National Multifamily Housing Council research finds 67% of renters want keyless smart locks, and Entrata reports 45% of renters believe physical door keys will be obsolete within the decade. Supply lags demand: 76% of multifamily operators still use traditional keys exclusively.

Sources

Every statistic above is drawn from one of the following organizations or publications:

  1. Singapore Police Force (Annual Crime Brief 2024 and 2025, Mid-Year Crime Brief 2025)
  2. FBI Uniform Crime Reporting data (via SafeWise)
  3. SafeWise
  4. The Zebra
  5. Astute Analytica
  6. Fortune Business Insights
  7. Persistence Market Research
  8. Wise Guy Reports
  9. Grand View Research
  10. Parks Associates
  11. Deloitte
  12. National Multifamily Housing Council (via SmartRent)
  13. Entrata
  14. KeyTrak (via National Apartment Association)
  15. Singapore Department of Statistics
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